Olaf Groth, a futurist and professor at the UC Berkeley Haas School of Business, examines how global trade tensions, artificial intelligence advancements, and economic shifts are reshaping California’s position in the world economy. He analyzes how intensifying tariff wars threaten the state’s tech sector while driving up consumer prices. Groth explores AI’s transformative effects on employment, the emerging defense-tech ecosystem, and California’s strategic challenges as it navigates global trade pressures and growing climate vulnerabilities.